Dede Scozzafava, the moderate GOP candidate in the race to represent upstate New York’s 23rd congressional district, suspended her campaign in the wake of yet another poll showing her in third place.gucci outlet online The poll, from Siena College, showed Scozzafava with just 20% of the vote, compared to Conservative candidate Doug Hoffman with 35% and Democratic candidate Bill Owens with 36%. (The three-way race was to replace Republican John McHugh, who left the seat to serve as President Obama’s Secretary of the Army.) Scozzafava was no doubt under pressure to leave the race, with the Republican vote split between her and Hoffman, who has been gaining momentum in recent days. But in leaving the race, Scozzafava, a local state Assemblywoman, stopped short of urging her voters to support Hoffman.louis vuitton handbags for sale
A statement posted on Scozzafava’s campaign web site included this language:
“It is increasingly clear that pressure is mounting on many of my supporters to shift their support. Consequently, I hereby release those individuals who have endorsed and supported my campaign to transfer their support as they see fit to do so. I am and have always been a proud Republican. It is my hope that with my actions today, my Party will emerge stronger and our District and our nation can take an important step towards restoring the enduring strength and economic prosperity that has defined us for generations.louis vuitton replica”
Scozzafava had seemed caught off guard by the support for Hoffman that had been growing after he earned endorsements from vice presidential candidate Sarah Palin, Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty and other national Republican figures. Scozzafava, who had been in the lead according to an Oct. 1 Siena poll, had since been attacked vigorously by Hoffman for her moderate views. (She is pro-choice and supports gay marriage rights, but also supports the Bush tax cuts and is opposed to cap and trade.fake chanel shoes) The race was heralded by political observers as a referendum on the future of the GOP, with grassroots conservatives organizing to take down Scozzafava and Hoffman declaring he was “fighting for the heart and soul of the Republican Party.”
Matt Burns, a spokesman for Scozzafava, stopped short of saying attacks by Hoffman had sunk her campaign, but told TIME, “Any time in a political campaign like this, whether it’s right or not, you need to have money to respond to charges leveled against you. It’s been no secret, we simply didn’t have the resources to respond to the attacks on her record.” Asked if he was referring to Hoffman specifically, Burns said no, adding of Hoffman and Owens, “Collectively, they’ve spent close to $3 million” campaigning against Scozzafava.gucci outlet online “The [GOP] party structure was supportive of her,” said Burns.
The special election scheduled Tuesday will only determine who represents the 23rd district for one year. An election for a full term will be held next fall. Said Burns, “Whoever is elected will have to immediately get back into a campaign again.fake chanel shoes
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2013年11月21日星期四
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Doug Hoffman, the Conservative candidate in NY’s 23rd congressional district race, just conceded the election to his opponent Democrat Bill Owens, according to the Watertown Daily Times.fake louis vuitton shoes Hoffman’s come from behind, Tea Party-supported grassroots campaign, which forced establishment Republican Dede Scozzafava out of the race over the weekend, had been hailed as a referendum on the future of the GOP. The state assemblywoman, who was pro-choice, pro-union and pro-gay marriage rights, had been chosen by local GOP officials to run for the seat left open when Republican John McHugh resigned to serve as President Obama’s Secretary of the Army. After leaving the race, Scozzafava bucked her party and endorsed Democrat Owens, even as GOP leaders inside and outside the state shifted their support to Hoffman.
Despite thousands of absentee ballots reportedly still uncounted, Hoffman declared defeat just after midnight when he was behind by some 4,000 votes.handbags louis vuitton According to the Associated Press, Hoffman conceded with 88 % of precincts reporting, at which point he had 46 % of the vote to Owens’s 49 %.
UPDATE: In a concession speech, Hoffman said, “I will be glad to work with [Owens] to help rebuild the economy of the North Country?? will try to work with him so we can help the North Country together.
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Larger lessons? It’s always dangerous to see too big a trend in off-year elections.louis vuitton backpack for sale But there might be one for Democrats: You are on your own. Barack Obama’s popularity–or his political operation–do not transfer when he is not on the ballot. This election could make Democrats more attuned to the political rhythms of their home states, and less willing to take risks. And that’s not necessarily good news for efforts to bring moderates aboard President Obama’s biggest initiatives, starting with health reform.replica louis vuitton
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There’s a lot of smart analysis being written about last night’s elections, including great insight from my TIME colleagues Jay Newton-Small and Karen Tumulty.fake chanel shoes What do the Republican wins in Virginia and New Jersey mean for Obama’s health care agenda? What challenges will Democratic candidates face in 2010? What does New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg’s narrower-than-expected victory say about the perils of incumbency in today’s economy?
How the national parties handled the races in New Jersey, Virginia, New York City and upstate New York can tell us a lot about political strategy going forward. But what happened within the context of local political history is also informative. I’ve already been sending Swampland readers to the web site of my old employer, the Watertown Daily Times, throughout our coverage of upstate New York’s 23rd congressional race, but following Democrat Bill Owens victory over Conservative Doug Hoffman, I can’t resist two more hyperlinks.
Here’s my old boss Bob Gorman, managing editor of the Daily Times, on what happened in the 23rd and what it means – for locals, state political officials and beyond.louis vuitton backpack for sale
And here’s Brian Mann, a reporter for North Country Public Radio, an NPR affiliate in the 23rd.
Both posts are worth reading in full, but here’s a preview of what Mann had to say:
I think my first sense that something was wrong in the Hoffman Wave came around 8pm. I arrived at the Hotel Saranac to find a distinctly underwhelming crowd.
There were plenty of reporters.chanel outlet Fox News had set up an entire studio, so that Sean Hannity could capture the moment of Doug Hoffman’s victory.
But where were the crowds of grassroots supporters? Where were the hundreds (the tens?) of passionate activists?
…Hoffman helped to elect a Democrat in NY-23 for the first time in modern history.
What went wrong? Maybe nothing.
Maybe the traditionalist message (pro-life, opposing gay marriage) and the anti-government rhetoric simply don’t appeal to enough people.louis vuitton shoes replica
Or maybe the same factors that helped build the wave — the sense of culture-war urgency, that whiff of triumphalism, the hectoring of the Becks and Limbaughs — also brought it up short.
It also appears that while conservatives loathe Republican Assemblywoman Dede Scozzafava, a sizable number of North Country voters don’t.
In fact, they kind of like and respect her. Not so shocking when you consider that she’s been an elected official and GOP leader for a decade.replica chanel shoes
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2013年11月20日星期三
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Barack Obama likes to say that as President of the United States, he doesn’t “bluff” when it comes to foreign policy.gucci handbag for sale But when it comes to energy, it looks like Obama might be willing to try the occasional fake out.
Yesterday Reuters reported that Obama and British Prime Minister David Cameron discussed the possibility of releasing emergency oil reserves during a meeting on March 14. Opening up the reserves would presumably help reduce oil prices ?? which have stayed well over $100 a barrel in part because of concerns over conflict with Iran ?? and take some of the political pressure off President Obama, whose poll numbers have wavered as gas prices have risen. While talk of using the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) ?? the 696-million-barrel oil stockpile stored along the Gulf Coast ?? has buzzed among energy analysts for the past few weeks, the Reuters report was the first concrete sign that a release could be coming, and it was enough to force oil prices down for the third time in four days.louis vuitton handbags for sale
MORE: How to Clean Up the Mess
Or maybe not so concrete. White House Press Secretary Jay Carney later denied the report. But many analysts believed White House officials may have put out the news as a possible trial balloon to see what impact even the hint of a release would have on oil markets. The response makes it that much more likely that Obama ?? for the second time in his Administration ?? will turn on the taps of the SPR.gucci outlet online But should he?
The SPR was created in 1975 as a hedge against severe oil supply disruptions like the 1974??75 Arab oil embargo that preceded the reserve’s creation. The idea is simple: if there is a sudden reduction in oil supply, the U.S. can release oil from its stockpiles to smooth out the global markets and reduce the risks of major price spikes.loui vuitton So far it’s been tapped five times:
President George H. W. Bush released reserve oil during the runup to the first Gulf War in anticipation of supply disruptions from Operation Desert Storm.
In 1996 the Republican-controlled Congress required two separate sales of reserve oil to raise money to reduce the federal budget deficit.louis vuitton shoes replica
President George W. Bush released oil in 2005 after Hurricanes Katrina and Rita badly damaged offshore production in the Gulf of Mexico.
And last year President Obama released 30 million barrels of oil from the reserve to offset supply disruptions due to the Libyan civil conflict. That move was done in conjunction with the release of another 30 million barrels from the stockpiles of the nations that make up the International Energy Agency (IEA).fake louis vuitton shoes
Here’s the question: do gas prices ?? now inching towards $4 a gallon ?? that have been goosed by fears of a conflict with Iran justify releasing oil from the SPR? After all, there haven’t been any?severe supply disruptions yet. Essentially traders are pricing in a risk premium to crude now, knowing that any war with Iran could lead to a sudden loss of 2.2 million barrels of oil a day, the amount that Iran exports. That would send prices skyrocketing, and if Iran were to somehow block the Strait of Hormuz, through which 17 million barrels of oil flows each day, that would be even more catastrophic.fake ugg boots But those are possible events. Right now, the oil is still flowing.
MORE: The White House Releases Oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Is That Strategic? UPDATE
Nonetheless, Daniel Weiss of the liberal think tank Center for American Progress thinks Obama should open up the taps:
Reserve oil sales reduce oil and gasoline prices.replica gucci shoes For instance, last year?the administration?announced its sale of SPR oil on June 23 with completion on September 30. The IEA sale occurred during this time too. From the time of the announcement to the time of final sale, the price of West Texas Intermediate crude oil dropped by 17 percent, while the price of gasoline fell by 6 percent. Such a decline would reduce $4 per gallon gasoline to $3.cheap gucci belts76 per gallon.
There’s little doubt that tapping the SPR would reduce gas prices in the short term, if only because it would sting speculators who’ve been betting billions on continued high prices. And since Obama is coming under a lot of pressure from both the public and Republicans to do?something?about gas prices, it’s probably inevitable that he’ll tap the SPR, if only because he otherwise has virtually no tools at his disposal. That’s what Steve Levine of?Foreign Policy thinks:
Look for President Barack Obama to order a significant release of oil from the?Strategic Petroleum Reserve, the emergency stockpile held by the federal government.louis vuitton backpack for sale At most, it may trigger a short-lived drop in today’s high gasoline prices. But Obama is battling history: Since Richard Nixon, gas prices have snuck up and startled otherwise occupied presidents, and led them into a flurry of actions that, while usually ineffective, have the virtue of making them look like they are doing?something. Now is Obama’s turn at the rite.
The truth is, though, a release from the SPR is a short-term solution ?? and just that.gucci handbag for sale Oil prices have been rising because of worry over the Middle East, but demand from fast-growing developing countries like India and China is also pushing up the price. Even with new sources like U.S. shale crude, the global oil industry will struggle to keep pace with demand into the future, which means we could be facing elevated prices for the foreseeable future.gucci handbag for sale There are solutions ?? improved efficiency to blunt the impact of high prices, greater production from new sources ?? but as Obama himself has said repeatedly, “there is no silver bullet.” And that’s not a bluff.
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Are you a Democrat who??s uneasy with the radical sloganeering of Occupy Wall Street protesters? Do you think Elizabeth Warren??s critiques on big business are a little, well, pushy? If you??re a liberal (as Phil Ochs said, ??Get it???) looking for safe, non-socialist ground from which to argue that America??s system for overseeing Wall Street has serious flaws, here??s a document for you.louis vuitton backpack for sale
In an order (PDF) released Thursday, District Court Judge Jed Rakoff ripped the SEC a new one, asking in a nine-point document why he should approve a proposed $285 million settlement deal between the agency and Citigroup that would resolve an SEC complaint (PDF) that charged the bank with running an allegedly shady mortgage bundling deal. The settlement and the complaint were both filed in Rakoff’s court Oct. 19, 2011.
Such deals require court approval, Rakoff notes at the start of his order, ??to ascertain whether the proposed judgment is fair, reasonable, adequate, and in the public interest.fake louis vuitton shoes?? Rakoff has a reputation among those who appear before him as tough, independent, smart and apolitical. (For example, he went a different direction when he provided some protection to Fred Wilpon and Saul Katz in the case brought by Irving Picard over the Bernie Madoff scam.)
In the Citigroup case, Rakoff seems to suspect the public interest is not being served by the SEC??s proposed settlement, or at least, seems to doubt the rigor of the agency’s work. Among other things, Rakoff ordered the SEC to explain:
-Why it??s settling what it calls a ??serious securities fraud?? case without Citigroup admitting or denying wrongdoing, given the public??s interest in knowing whether the SEC??s charges are true.replica louis vuitton
-What the total loss of victims from the mortgage bundling scam was (the SEC only says it was at least $160 million, but doesn??t set an upper limit).
-Why ??is the penalty in this case less than one fifth of the $535 million penalty assessed?? in the July 2010 settlement in a similar case against Goldman Sachs.
-What deterrent effect the limited penalty of $95 million will likely have, if any.
-What the SEC actually does to enforce compliance with such agreements against large financial entities and ??How many contempt proceedings against large financial entitities has the S.fake louis vuitton shoesE.C. brought in the past decade as a result of violations of prior consent judgments???
-Why Citigroup and its shareholders are paying the penalty and not the ??culpable offenders,?? and why the SEC wasn??t able to identify the offenders.
-What oversight was lacking that allowed the scam to occur and what the SEC is going to do to make sure they don??t happen again.louis vuitton outlet online
-And finally, ??How can a securities fraud of this nature and magnitude be the result simply of negligence???
Rakoff will convene a hearing on November 9 at 3 p.m. in the Southern District of New York. It is fair to say that public interest will be significantly higher than it normally would be for such hearings.loui vuitton There might even be a few emboldened liberals there.
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Remember how last fall that “heroic” Manhattan-based U.chanel handbags for saleS. district court judge Jed Rakoff “ripped the SEC a new one” by blocking a massive settlement the agency had proposed? with Citigroup for the bank’s allegedly knowing and fraudulent acts in the run-up to the great recession? At the time of Rakoff’s decision last November, I wrote:
When U.S. district judge Jed Rakoff rejected a $285 million settlement between the Securities and Exchange Commission and Citigroup on Nov.fake uggs 28, he effectively marched out of the federal courthouse on Foley Square and took his place as the most powerful protester in Zuccotti Park. In a blunt court order, Rakoff broke with decades of judicial deference to the feds and suggested that regulators were enabling Wall Street’s efforts to hide allegedly “knowing and fraudulent” acts from the public. While the decision’s long-term effects depend on the case’s future in the courts, it could immediately impose new standards of accountability and disclosure on an often too cozy system of financial oversight.
It turns out that whole “breaking with decades of judicial deference” thing is a problem, legally speaking.gucci handbag for sale On Thursday, the 2nd Circuit Court of Appeals, which oversees district courts in New York, Connecticut and Vermont, ripped Rakoff a new one, staying his ruling and suggesting that his decision misunderstood their previous rulings, overstepped his authority to challenge regulators and made unwarranted assumptions about what had actually happened in the case. The stay can be found here (pdf). Reports the New York Law Journal:
The Second Circuit said Judge Rakoff (See Profile) failed to show proper deference to the SEC’s judgment that the settlement of fraud claims stemming from the sale of mortgage-backed securities was not against the public interest… [and] stayed Judge Rakoff’s ruling ordering a trial in the case while the circuit considers appeals by both the SEC and Citigroup. The panel said both parties showed they would probably prevail in their challenges to Judge Rakoff’s decision… [and said Rakoff] “prejudges the fact that Citigroup had in fact misled investors.fake chanel shoes”… “[Further Rakoff] does not appear to have given deference to the SEC’s judgment on wholly discretionary matters of policy,” the circuit said [and]… “misinterpreted” certain rulings in holding it was against the public interest to approve a settlement in which Citigroup made no admission of liability, when in fact, those rulings “stand for the proposition that when a court orders injunctive relief, it should insure that injunction does not cause harm to the public interest.”… Finally, the court said it had “no reason to doubt” the SEC claim that the settlement was in the public interest…
Robert Khuzami, director of the SEC’s Division of Enforcement, said in a statement, “We are pleased that the appeals court found ‘no reason to doubt’ the SEC’s view that the settlement ordering Citigroup to return $285 million to harmed investors and adopt business reforms is in the public interest. As we have said consistently, we agree to settlements when the terms reflect what we reasonably believe we could obtain if we prevailed at trial, without the risk of delay and uncertainty that comes with litigation. Equally important, this settlement approach preserves resources that we can use to stop other frauds and protect other victims.ugg boots outlet
So will Rakoff’s decision still compel higher standards of disclosure by banks making settlements with the SEC? Maybe. This win by the SEC will receive a lot less attention than the initial Rakoff ruling, even though the latter is clearly going to be reversed. So perhaps Rakoff’s goal of attracting attention to the SEC’s deal making will turn out to have been an end in itself.
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When it comes to religion and morality, Rick Santorum is in a tricky position.fake uggs He is clearly guided by his devout Catholic faith and most passionate about cultural values. And that explains a lot of his appeal among conservative voters. At the same time, Santorum knows that Mitt Romney makes a powerful case that Santorum’s social conservatism could cost the GOP droves of independent voters, and especially women, in November.
(PHOTOS: On the Trail with Rick Santorum)
In response, Santorum argues that he’s been unfairly pigeonholed.replica gucci shoes He tends to lay off the God stuff in his television interviews and televised primary-night speeches. But the man just can’t help himself. In Puerto Rico on Wednesday, Santorum was asked, once again, about his famous comment that John F. Kennedy’s 1960 address promising that he would not take marching orders from the Vatican made him want to puke: ??[H]e went far too far in separating out faith in the public square absolutely, and that??s what he said, he said people of faith have no role in public discourse.louis vuitton speedy That is, of course, incorrect. That is not what the First Amendment says,?? Santorum replied.
(MORE: The Under-Told Story of How Santorum Became a Crusader for the Religious Right)
But Kennedy didn’t say that, or anything particularly close to it–a point that people have been making for a while now, apparently to Santorum’s deaf ears. And Santorum is not going to overcome his reputation for religious zealotry if shows so little ability for self-awareness and engagement with his critics.louis vuitton speedy In fact, the question simply sent him rushing back to politically dangerous terrain, per the New York Times:
But Mr. Santorum was off and rolling, and he was far more passionate on this topic than anything else that came up during his day. He jumped from there to the subject of President Obama??s recent order that employers, including religious-affiliated hospitals, colleges and other institutions, cover contraception in employees?? insurance policies.
??The left wants to try to twist this and turn this into something having to do with sex,?? he declared.louis vuitton handbags for sale ??No. It has everything to do with freedoms and religious beliefs and the government??s ability to impose their values on people of faith and denying people of faith access to the public square to make their arguments.??
Incidentally, it was Rush Limbaugh, not “the left,” who turned a law student’s testimony into a monologue about sex tapes and prostitution. More to the point, Santorum simply doesn’t seem this animated when talking about, say, his manufacturing tax credit.chanel handbags for sale And that’s fine. He is who he is: a social-conservative crusader who believes in a society organized around theological values. But he’s not very good at pretending otherwise.
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2013年11月19日星期二
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Univision anchor Jorge Ramos, who wrote a column for TIME?last week, interviewed controversial Arizona sheriff Joe Arpaio last weekend.louis vuitton shoes replica Standing against the backdrop of Maricopa County’s infamous outdoor Tent City jail, Arpaio claimed he is not anti-immigrant and that the Justice Department’s three-year investigation into his “discriminatory bias against Latinos” is just “their opinion.” When Ramos explained that many Latinos see Arpaio as the face of racism and discrimination, the sheriff made this defiant assertion: “I’ve never had any problems with a Latino. They love me.” Ramos replied, “They don’t.handbags louis vuitton They don’t. They don’t, Sheriff Arpaio.”
(MORE:?Why Latino Voters Will Swing the 2012 Election)
It was a first-rate interview. Ramos had Arpaio explain why every GOP presidential candidate wants his endorsement ?? “I’m not tall, dark and handsome, so there must be a reason that they’re asking me to support them.ugg boots outlet” Arpaio even discussed his plan to release his findings about President Obama’s birth certificate on March 1, thanks to his “cold-case posse” of volunteer ex-cops and lawyers. And the finale was a moment to behold:
JR: We’ve spoken twice, and I still can’t understand why you keep on talking to us. Are you ?? why are you doing this? As you know, many people in the Hispanic community, many immigrants, simply hate you. Why do you insist on talking to us?
JA: Well, I don??t ??
JR: What’s your agenda? What do you want to achieve by talking to us? I really appreciate it as a journalist, but why are you doing it?
JA: Because ?? because you called me.ugg boots outlet I didn’t call you, and you are a fair, well-known reporter, well respected. So why ?? what do you think, I’m afraid to talk to you? I’m not afraid to talk to you or anybody else. I talk to everybody. I’m an equal-opportunity guy.louis vuitton handbags for sale I don’t back down for the media or anybody else.
(MORE: “Por Que Ningun Partido Habla Nuestro Lenguaje”)
Arpaio has no qualms about talking to Ramos about his hard-line views on immigration, Republican presidential candidates’ paying him homage or Obama’s birth certificate. But the wide dissemination of such views on networks like Univision will only push Latinos to come out against the GOP in droves this fall ?? whether Arpaio thinks Latinos love him or not.
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Barack Obama never mentioned Mitt Romney when he spoke at the United Auto Workers Convention on Tuesday.handbags louis vuitton But when Obama said “folks,” he meant Romney. When Obama said “these politicians,” he meant Romney. And when Obama said “some politicians,” he meant Romney.
It’s halftime in the 2012 election.chanel outlet The remaining Republican candidates are off squabbling with each other about who is more conservative. This may take them a while. In the meantime, President Obama is dropping the pretense that there is something to distinguish his campaign duties (fundraisers, online messages to supporters) and his presidential duties (addresses to large crowds, like the UAW). But not completely.chanel outlet He still won’t say Mitt Romney’s name.
(MORE:?The Republican Race Looks Murky, in Michigan and Beyond)
Instead, he refers to Romney in the third person plural, as “folks,” or “politicians.” “It’s been funny to watch some of these politicians completely rewrite history now that you’re back on your feet,” Obama told the UAW gathering. “These are folks who said if we went forward with out plan to rescue Detroit, ‘You can kiss the American automotive industry goodbye.louis vuitton replica’” The only folks who wrote that line was Mitt Romney.
“Some politicians said we should, ‘Let Detroit go bankrupt,’” Obama said at another point in his speech to the UAW. The only “some politicians” was Romney, and he didn’t coin it. A headline writer at the New York Times topped an opinion piece that Romney wrote with that line.handbags louis vuitton But never mind. You get the point.
If Romney ever does get a chance to return to his general election message, he will find that Obama has had plenty of time over the last several weeks to hone his own. As Adam Sorensen pointed out to me, there are lots of clear rebuttals to Romney’s one liners embedded in Tuesday’s speech.fake gucci shoes When Romney says that he believes in America or that Obama apologized for America, the President will retort, Romney gave up on an American industry. “I placed my bet on American workers,” Obama said Tuesday, again. “And I’d make that same bet again any day of the week.”
(PHOTOS:?Political Pictures of the Week, Feb.louis vuitton handbags for sale 18-24)
When Romney says he is for restoring American greatness, Obama will say the country should not look back. “We will not settle for a country where a few people do really well, and everyone else struggles to get by,” Obama said Tuesday. “We will not go back to an economy weakened by outsourcing, bad debt and phony profits.”
Those are the battle lines.fake louis vuitton shoes At this point, no one is quite sure when the battle will begin once again.
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When the history of Facebook-enabled activism is written, the backlash against the Susan G.fake gucci shoes Komen foundation??s decision to end grants to Planned Parenthood clinics will fall somewhere behind the Arab Spring and ahead of the effort to get Betty White to host Saturday Night Live. The Betty White campaign took months; the Komen foundation reversed its stand after just four days of scathing Facebook updates.
This is what social-media anger looks like: a pink graphic with the words ??Still Standing with Planned Parenthood?? and an arrow pointing to the user??s photo, posted with the righteous force of a click.
(MORE: Planned Parenthood Credits Social Media for Publicizing Its Position Against Komen Foundation)
By the end of last week, Komen had decided that Planned Parenthood could apply for future grants to provide breast-cancer detection and education.fake chanel shoes But having raised in a matter of days five times the $600,000 that it stood to lose in grant funds, Planned Parenthood isn??t going to need Komen??s money anytime soon.
The backlash against Komen, and its subsequent reversal, wasn’t a given. While the Komen episode generated an immediate response by Planned Parenthood??s supporters, legislative attacks against the organization last year resulted in barely a social-media peep. When a dozen states proposed banning all funding to the abortion-and-health-care provider ?? and those bans became law in at least five states ?? no one started a Twitter campaign to lobby state legislatures.fake chanel shoes And when a congressional effort to strip Planned Parenthood of federal funds nearly shut down the government, the Facebook group Don??t Let Congress Defund Planned Parenthood attracted a whopping 30 Likes.
Why did Komen??s decision galvanize pro??abortion rights Americans while much more substantial efforts to financially starve Planned Parenthood failed to register? The most obvious answer is that breast cancer is a far less polarizing issue than abortion, or even birth control. Support for abortion rights doesn??t generate the energy it once did in the U.S.louis vuitton handbags for sale because the women who came of age around the time of the Roe v. Wade decision are past their childbearing years and the women who are now in their reproductive prime have never known a world in which abortion was illegal. In the case of breast cancer, however, those early abortion-rights activists now include many breast-cancer survivors ?? and friends of those who have died from breast cancer. And many of the younger women have watched their mothers and aunts fight the disease.loui vuitton
(MORE: Planned Parenthood Responds to Komen Reversal)
MSNBC’s Andrea Mitchell, who announced last September that she had been diagnosed with breast cancer, was the first journalist to interview Komen founder Nancy Brinker, and Mitchell introduced the segment by noting that she was ??expressing the anger of a lot of people,?? including herself. As Mitchell later told Politico, ??It??s hard to explain when you??ve lost someone to breast cancer and then run with that person??s name on your T-shirt, how determined you are, holding back your tears.?? Mitchell has been involved with Komen for years and said she remembered ??as a very young woman running, having just lost my closest friend, and knowing that I was running that race for her. It kept me going.fake uggs??
However, the reaction went beyond the instinct to protect more women from breast cancer. The outpouring of support for Planned Parenthood was not as visceral as the anger at the Komen foundation. For those who have donated to the group and participated in Race for the Cure and worn pink ribbons or purchased pink-colored anything through Komen??s many sponsors, the decision to revoke grants to Planned Parenthood felt like a betrayal.
Perhaps the closest comparison is when lovers of Chick-fil-A??s fried-chicken sandwiches discovered that the restaurant chain had donated hundreds of thousands of dollars to groups that oppose gay marriage.louis vuitton neverfull As one Komen sponsor told the Washington Post, ??It??s unsettling to think you??re supporting one thing and then it changes.?? Komen supporters thought they had woken up to find that their beloved pink-ribbon standard-bearer had become a conservative antiabortion institution.
The episode also made explicit an argument Planned Parenthood has consistently marshaled as it fought state and federal efforts to deny the organization access to funding for birth control. Its clinics, Planned Parenthood insists, provide women with care that goes beyond reproductive health.chanel outlet The headlines announcing that Planned Parenthood was losing grants from the Komen foundation legitimized Planned Parenthood’s role as a health care provider for low-income women.
(MORE: How Will Komen’s Split with Planned Parenthood Affect Women’s Health?)
Conservatives quickly recognized this threat to their efforts to paint Planned Parenthood as ??an abortion factory,?? and they jumped to point out that most Planned Parenthood clinics don??t provide mammograms on-site and instead refer women to outside clinics. In a statement released after Komen backed off its initial decision, Ralph Reed of the conservative Faith and Freedom Coalition charged that ??Planned Parenthood put politics ahead of women??s health?? and alleged that it ??does not offer mammography services to women.??
Planned Parenthood clinics are hardly the only Komen grant recipients to serve as a middle (wo)man, offering manual breast exams by nurse practitioners, and then subsidizing the mammograms of women whom they send elsewhere for the procedure.louis vuitton outlet online And it takes some contortions to argue that the end result ?? free or highly subsidized breast-cancer detection for women who otherwise might not receive it ?? does not benefit women??s health.
Now that Komen has reversed its position and vowed to continue considering Planned Parenthood clinics for grants, antiabortion activists are crying foul about Planned Parenthood??s ??bullying?? of Komen. Likewise, Planned Parenthood did not hesitate to label Komen??s initial decision the result of pressure from antiabortion groups, despite a lack of evidence for that charge. Both sides in the culture war used the episode to raise funds for their causes and to demonize their opponents.fake uggs But ultimately this showdown didn’t tell us anything about the culture war or abortion. It proved instead that women will rally to the cause of fighting breast cancer. Because there’s still no cure.
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When the history of Facebook-enabled activism is written, the backlash against the Susan G.fake gucci shoes Komen foundation??s decision to end grants to Planned Parenthood clinics will fall somewhere behind the Arab Spring and ahead of the effort to get Betty White to host Saturday Night Live. The Betty White campaign took months; the Komen foundation reversed its stand after just four days of scathing Facebook updates.
This is what social-media anger looks like: a pink graphic with the words ??Still Standing with Planned Parenthood?? and an arrow pointing to the user??s photo, posted with the righteous force of a click.
(MORE: Planned Parenthood Credits Social Media for Publicizing Its Position Against Komen Foundation)
By the end of last week, Komen had decided that Planned Parenthood could apply for future grants to provide breast-cancer detection and education.fake chanel shoes But having raised in a matter of days five times the $600,000 that it stood to lose in grant funds, Planned Parenthood isn??t going to need Komen??s money anytime soon.
The backlash against Komen, and its subsequent reversal, wasn’t a given. While the Komen episode generated an immediate response by Planned Parenthood??s supporters, legislative attacks against the organization last year resulted in barely a social-media peep. When a dozen states proposed banning all funding to the abortion-and-health-care provider ?? and those bans became law in at least five states ?? no one started a Twitter campaign to lobby state legislatures.fake chanel shoes And when a congressional effort to strip Planned Parenthood of federal funds nearly shut down the government, the Facebook group Don??t Let Congress Defund Planned Parenthood attracted a whopping 30 Likes.
Why did Komen??s decision galvanize pro??abortion rights Americans while much more substantial efforts to financially starve Planned Parenthood failed to register? The most obvious answer is that breast cancer is a far less polarizing issue than abortion, or even birth control. Support for abortion rights doesn??t generate the energy it once did in the U.S.louis vuitton handbags for sale because the women who came of age around the time of the Roe v. Wade decision are past their childbearing years and the women who are now in their reproductive prime have never known a world in which abortion was illegal. In the case of breast cancer, however, those early abortion-rights activists now include many breast-cancer survivors ?? and friends of those who have died from breast cancer. And many of the younger women have watched their mothers and aunts fight the disease.loui vuitton
(MORE: Planned Parenthood Responds to Komen Reversal)
MSNBC’s Andrea Mitchell, who announced last September that she had been diagnosed with breast cancer, was the first journalist to interview Komen founder Nancy Brinker, and Mitchell introduced the segment by noting that she was ??expressing the anger of a lot of people,?? including herself. As Mitchell later told Politico, ??It??s hard to explain when you??ve lost someone to breast cancer and then run with that person??s name on your T-shirt, how determined you are, holding back your tears.?? Mitchell has been involved with Komen for years and said she remembered ??as a very young woman running, having just lost my closest friend, and knowing that I was running that race for her. It kept me going.fake uggs??
However, the reaction went beyond the instinct to protect more women from breast cancer. The outpouring of support for Planned Parenthood was not as visceral as the anger at the Komen foundation. For those who have donated to the group and participated in Race for the Cure and worn pink ribbons or purchased pink-colored anything through Komen??s many sponsors, the decision to revoke grants to Planned Parenthood felt like a betrayal.
Perhaps the closest comparison is when lovers of Chick-fil-A??s fried-chicken sandwiches discovered that the restaurant chain had donated hundreds of thousands of dollars to groups that oppose gay marriage.louis vuitton neverfull As one Komen sponsor told the Washington Post, ??It??s unsettling to think you??re supporting one thing and then it changes.?? Komen supporters thought they had woken up to find that their beloved pink-ribbon standard-bearer had become a conservative antiabortion institution.
The episode also made explicit an argument Planned Parenthood has consistently marshaled as it fought state and federal efforts to deny the organization access to funding for birth control. Its clinics, Planned Parenthood insists, provide women with care that goes beyond reproductive health.chanel outlet The headlines announcing that Planned Parenthood was losing grants from the Komen foundation legitimized Planned Parenthood’s role as a health care provider for low-income women.
(MORE: How Will Komen’s Split with Planned Parenthood Affect Women’s Health?)
Conservatives quickly recognized this threat to their efforts to paint Planned Parenthood as ??an abortion factory,?? and they jumped to point out that most Planned Parenthood clinics don??t provide mammograms on-site and instead refer women to outside clinics. In a statement released after Komen backed off its initial decision, Ralph Reed of the conservative Faith and Freedom Coalition charged that ??Planned Parenthood put politics ahead of women??s health?? and alleged that it ??does not offer mammography services to women.??
Planned Parenthood clinics are hardly the only Komen grant recipients to serve as a middle (wo)man, offering manual breast exams by nurse practitioners, and then subsidizing the mammograms of women whom they send elsewhere for the procedure.louis vuitton outlet online And it takes some contortions to argue that the end result ?? free or highly subsidized breast-cancer detection for women who otherwise might not receive it ?? does not benefit women??s health.
Now that Komen has reversed its position and vowed to continue considering Planned Parenthood clinics for grants, antiabortion activists are crying foul about Planned Parenthood??s ??bullying?? of Komen. Likewise, Planned Parenthood did not hesitate to label Komen??s initial decision the result of pressure from antiabortion groups, despite a lack of evidence for that charge. Both sides in the culture war used the episode to raise funds for their causes and to demonize their opponents.fake uggs But ultimately this showdown didn’t tell us anything about the culture war or abortion. It proved instead that women will rally to the cause of fighting breast cancer. Because there’s still no cure.
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2013年11月13日星期三
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Surprising data point of the day via Mother Jones: The cost of presidential campaigns did not grow dramatically in the latter half of the 20th century (after the advent of television ad spending, I’m speculating).fake ugg boots In fact, in 2011 dollars, 1968′s Nixon-Humprey-Wallace contest cost significantly more than the campaigns of the ’70s, ’80s and ’90s:
What’s more, election costs mostly trailed inflation and GDP until the explosion of spending in the last two cycles. Now, this chart doesn’t include outside spending so it’s not the whole picture, but it’s fair to say that U.S. elections, even now with $1 billion price tags, are not radically more expensive than you’d expect given the last 50 years of history.louis vuitton handbags for sale
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On Sunday, the New York Times explained the basics of Mitt Romney’s opposition to the Obama Administration’s bailout of General Motors and Chrysler and what Romney would have done differently (plus the White House’s retort that Romney’s alternative ???finding an infusion of private capital ???was unrealistic).chanel outlet What the Times story didn’t offer was a clear sense of how damaging this position might be to Romney’s prospects in Michigan, where the automakers’ comeback has been an economic godsend. But a poll released Sunday gives us an answer:
Romney’s bailout stance isn’t hurting him. 34% of voters say they’re more likely to vote for someone opposed to the bailout, while only 27% consider that opposition a negative. 35% say it doesn’t make a difference to them either way.handbags louis vuitton
I’d also wager that the 27% of Republicans who consider opposing the bailout to be a negative are probably relative moderates ???it’s the hardcore Tea Partyers who loathe government interventions ???and therefore are likely to support Romney anyway.
(MORE:?The Michigan GOP Primary: Where All Politics Is National)
Of course, given that Rick Santorum also opposed the automaker bailout, this probably wasn’t going to be a decisive issue. But Romney’s opposition was somewhat more visible, and bluntly stated (i.e.fake uggs, “Let Detroit Go Bankrupt”). Santorum has also made the reasonable argument that he opposed the Detroit bailout on principle, whereas Romney supported the bank bailout ???and thus that “he supported his friends on Wall Street but did not support the auto industry.”
This is all interesting, but perhaps significant around the margins. That same poll’s evidence that Romney is already closing the gap against Santorum in Michigan affirms my belief that Romney’s carpet-bombing TV ad campaign will prove too much for the former Pennsylvania Senator to withstand.chanel outlet
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Rick Santorum’s victories on Feb.louis vuitton replica 7 kicked off a month-long trial period, which will be capped by Super Tuesday on March 6, to convince Republican voters that he is not only the best conservative alternative to Mitt Romney, but also a viable general-election candidate. Midway through Santorum’s moment, it’s tough to tell if he’s thriving or blowing it.?
Ignore for a moment the polls, which have been a lagging indicator throughout the volatile nominating fight. To position himself as a credible threat to Barack Obama, Santorum had use the spotlight afforded by his three-state sweep on two weeks ago to demonstrate the breadth of his appeal.louis vuitton backpack for sale “He??s been so visible on social issues that sometimes it overshadows the fiscal conservative record that he has,” Santorum strategist John Brabender told me last week.?Santorum likes to describe himself as a “full-spectrum conservative,” and aides suggested now was the time for Santorum to showcase his fluency on issues beyond gay marriage and abortion. He would spend time talking about his plan to spark the Rust Belt’s industrial engines by eliminating taxes on manufacturing; his hawkish foreign policy, an area where Romney has little experience; and the perils of nominating a governor who backed TARP and crafted the antecedent to Obama’s health-care overhaul.
(MORE: The Saga of Rick Santorum’s Second Surge)
Most importantly, he would stack his carefully cultivated everyman persona against Romney’s executive mien.gucci handbag for sale “We need someone who understands, who comes from the coal fields, who comes from the steel mills, who understands what average working people in America need to be able to provide for themselves and their families,” Santorum said Monday in eastern Ohio. Never mind that Santorum is a trained lawyer who spent 16 years in Congress before become a high-flying consultant, and has never worked a day in either blue-collar idyll. The truth of the statement was less important than the empathy it was meant to convey.
But instead of selling this story, Santorum has spent several critical days trying to put out fires of his own making.louis vuitton backpack for sale Over the Presidents Day weekend alone, he questioned Obama’s “phony theology,” suggested that standard prenatal testing is a mechanism to “encourage abortions,” and appeared to liken Obama to Hitler by comparing complacency over the President’s agenda to the pre-World War II period when the U.S. dallied during the rise of “this guy over in Europe.”
(LIST: A Brief History of (What You Think Is) Presidents’ Day)
Santorum, whose home-schools his children, also referred to public schools–which he blasted in his 2005 book for their “weird socialization” — as “factories.gucci outlet online” On Monday, his new campaign spokesman had to apologize after assailing Obama’s “radical Islamic policies.” The Daily Beast?used the spate of controversial comments to compile a list of the “Top 10 Outrageous Things Rick Santorum has said,” declaring that “there are politicians who make gaffes, and then there is Rick Santorum.”
Santorum spent plenty of time over the weekend explaining away or defending his remarks. He denied impugning the President’s faith, claiming that he was referring to Obama’s “radical environmentalism” and saying, “I accept the fact that the President is a Christian.louis vuitton speedy” He doubled down on his criticism of prenatal testing. And he soft-pedaled his opposition to the government’s role in public education, casting it as a preference for local control of schools, a position which comports with conservative ideology. Though none of these episodes is likely to inflict immediate damage, they won’t help him dispel the perception that his strict social conservatism makes him a risky general-election candidate. And each second of oxygen they consume is a squandered opportunity to batter Romney or enumerate his own merits.gucci outlet online
(MORE: Rick Santorum’s Roll)
But while Democrats will use such comments to buttress the argument that Santorum’s views are extreme, they won’t hurt him in a Republican primary where voters have prized purity and passion over all else. Though he’s made electability central to his message, Romney doesn’t seem inclined to attack Santorum from the center. John Sununu, one of Romney’s top surrogates, even hammered Santorum on Friday for backing “liberal social causes.” So far, Santorum’s surge shows little sign of abating; his crowds have been big and buoyant, and while the contest in Michigan appears to be tightening, polls show Santorum opening leads in Ohio, Oklahoma and Texas.chanel handbags for sale
Which raises the possibility that Santorum’s controversial comments weren’t “gaffes” at all. In the eyes of his acolytes, he burnishes his standing every time he soldiers through a game of gotcha journalism with the liberal media. Any aspersions cast on Obama’s religion — entirely coincidental, mind you! — may also serve to remind voters of Romney’s Mormonism.
To be sure, Santorum’s high favorability numbers — 67% of respondents in Michigan say they have a positive view of the former Senator, compared to 23% who don’t — are a function of the fact that he’s taken little sustained fire from opponents so far.handbags louis vuitton But they also reflect the perception that he is a politician who says what he believes. In a turbulent primary season, Republican voters have placed as much importance, if not more, on candidates’ biography and authenticity as on policy. If it stays that way, Santorum’s moment may well extend beyond the next two weeks. But come November, he would face the challenge of swaying voters with a different set of priorities.gucci outlet online
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Adelson: “I might give $10 million or $100 million to Gingrich.louis vuitton replica”
A breakdown of campaign and super PAC fundraising in January.
Romney’s burn rate was two dollars spent for every one raised.
Meet Ron Paul’s biggest investor.
Santorum’s super PAC doubles its ad buy in Michigan.fake louis vuitton
He’s lost the Dutch.
Alleged strategy memo from the climate skeptic Heartland Institute came from a noted climate scientist.
Barack Obama, the best gun salesman in America.
Congressman Connie Mack has long history of debts and bar fights.cheap gucci belts
And after a brief Internet search, Indiana lawmaker reveals the Girl Scouts is a radical tactical arm of Planned Parenthood.
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